NFL Best Bets of the Week

NFL Best Bets

Week 20, 2022

Optimal Bets uses proprietary algorithms to calculate the win percentage and expected value for O/Us, Spreads, and Moneylines.

We’ll go through each game and pick what our models calculate to be the best bet for that game. The best bet is the bet with the highest implied bet units. We use quarter Kelly Criterion to calculate the bet units. It’s possible there are no winning bets for the game which means the implied units for all bets will be 0. In that case, we default to the bet with the highest expected value even though it’s considered to be a losing bet. The best bets are dynamic based on the week's news and lock at the kickoff.

Here were the NFL Best Bets for Week 19.



Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs

Sat 4:30 PM EST

The best bet of the game for JAX @ KC is JAX ML +400. Our simulations expect this bet to win 33% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $166 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 4 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 20.

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles

Sat 8:15 PM EST

The best bet of the game for NYG @ PHI is NYG ML +285. Our simulations expect this bet to win 38% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $144 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 3 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 20.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills

Sun 3:00 PM EST

The best bet of the game for CIN @ BUF is CIN ML +200. Our simulations expect this bet to win 41% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $123 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 20.

Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers

Sun 6:43 PM EST

The best bet of the game for DAL @ SF is DAL ML +165. Our simulations expect this bet to win 41% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $109 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Optimal Bets is not responsible for any decisions made, financial or otherwise, based on information provided by this website and application. Optimal Bets cannot guarantee the correctness of the information contained within our website and application.


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