NFL Best Bets of the Week

NFL Best Bets

Week 2, 2022

Optimal Bets uses proprietary algorithms to calculate the win percentage and expected value for O/Us, Spreads, and Moneylines.

We’ll go through each game and pick what our models calculate to be the best bet for that game. The best bet is the bet with the highest implied bet units. We use quarter Kelly Criterion to calculate the bet units. It’s possible there are no winning bets for the game which means the implied units for all bets will be 0. In that case, we default to the bet with the highest expected value even though it’s considered to be a losing bet. The best bets are dynamic based on the week's news and lock at the kickoff.

Here were the NFL Best Bets for Week 1.



Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs

Thu 8:15 PM EST

The best bet of the game for LAC @ KC is LAC ML +165. Our simulations expect this bet to win 45% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $118 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 2.

Washington Football Team @ Detroit Lions

Sun 1:00 PM EST

The best bet of the game for WAS @ DET is Under 48.0 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 58% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $110 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 2.

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun 1:00 PM EST

The best bet of the game for IND @ JAX is JAX ML +135. Our simulations expect this bet to win 42% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $99 for every $100 bet.

Our models calculate this to be a -EV bet which means we would avoid betting this game altogether.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints

Sun 1:00 PM EST

The best bet of the game for TB @ NO is NO ML +125. Our simulations expect this bet to win 46% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $102 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun 1:00 PM EST

The best bet of the game for NE @ PIT is PIT ML +125. Our simulations expect this bet to win 48% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $108 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants

Sun 1:00 PM EST

The best bet of the game for CAR @ NYG is NYG ML +105. Our simulations expect this bet to win 51% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $103 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns

Sun 1:00 PM EST

The best bet of the game for NYJ @ CLE is NYJ ML +200. Our simulations expect this bet to win 40% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $118 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 2.

Miami Dolphins @ Baltimore Ravens

Sun 1:03 PM EST

The best bet of the game for MIA @ BAL is BAL -3.5 -105. Our simulations expect this bet to win 55% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $107 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 2.

Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers

Sun 4:05 PM EST

The best bet of the game for SEA @ SF is Over 39.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 58% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $111 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 3 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 2.

Atlanta Falcons @ Los Angeles Rams

Sun 4:05 PM EST

The best bet of the game for ATL @ LAR is Over 46.0 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 58% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $111 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 3 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 2.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Dallas Cowboys

Sun 4:25 PM EST

The best bet of the game for CIN @ DAL is DAL ML +245. Our simulations expect this bet to win 35% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $120 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 2.

Arizona Cardinals @ Las Vegas Raiders

Sun 4:25 PM EST

The best bet of the game for ARI @ LV is ARI ML +185. Our simulations expect this bet to win 38% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $109 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Houston Texans @ Denver Broncos

Sun 4:25 PM EST

The best bet of the game for HOU @ DEN is HOU ML +370. Our simulations expect this bet to win 28% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $129 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 2.

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers

Sun 8:20 PM EST

The best bet of the game for CHI @ GB is CHI ML +370. Our simulations expect this bet to win 30% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $139 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 2.

Tennessee Titans @ Buffalo Bills

Mon 7:15 PM EST

The best bet of the game for TEN @ BUF is TEN ML +350. Our simulations expect this bet to win 34% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $151 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 3 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets for Week 2.

Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles

Mon 8:30 PM EST

The best bet of the game for MIN @ PHI is MIN ML +120. Our simulations expect this bet to win 46% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $100 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Optimal Bets is not responsible for any decisions made, financial or otherwise, based on information provided by this website and application. Optimal Bets cannot guarantee the correctness of the information contained within our website and application.


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