NBA Best Bets of the Day

NBA Best Bets of the Day

Tuesday, Jan 24, 2023

Optimal Bets uses proprietary algorithms to calculate the win percentage and expected value for O/Us, Spreads, and Moneylines.

We’ll go through each game and pick what our models calculate to be the best bet for that game. The best bet is the bet with the highest implied bet units. We use quarter Kelly Criterion to calculate the bet units. It’s possible there are no winning bets for the game which means the implied units for all bets will be 0. In that case, we default to the bet with the highest expected value even though it’s considered to be a losing bet. The best bets are dynamic based on the day's news and lock at tip-off.

Here were the NBA Best Bets of the Day for Monday, Jan 23, 2023.



Chicago Bulls @ Indiana Pacers

Tue 7:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for CHI @ IND is Under 234.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 59% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $113 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 3 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat

Tue 7:30 PM EST

The best bet of the game for BOS @ MIA is BOS +2.0 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 54% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $103 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks

Tue 7:40 PM EST

The best bet of the game for CLE @ NY is Under 220.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 57% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $108 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Denver Nuggets @ New Orleans Pelicans

Tue 8:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for DEN @ NO is Under 232.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 60% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $115 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 4 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Washington Wizards @ Dallas Mavericks

Tue 8:40 PM EST

The best bet of the game for WAS @ DAL is Under 224.0 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 57% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $108 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 2 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Charlotte Hornets @ Phoenix Suns

Tue 9:17 PM EST

The best bet of the game for CHA @ PHO is CHA +7.0 -105. Our simulations expect this bet to win 51% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $99 for every $100 bet.

Our models calculate this to be a -EV bet which means we would avoid betting this game altogether.

Los Angeles Clippers @ Los Angeles Lakers

Tue 10:00 PM EST

The best bet of the game for LAC @ LAL is Under 231.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 60% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $115 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 4 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Optimal Bets is not responsible for any decisions made, financial or otherwise, based on information provided by this website and application. Optimal Bets cannot guarantee the correctness of the information contained within our website and application.


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