NBA Best Bets of the Day

NBA Best Bets of the Day

Sunday, Jan 29, 2023

Optimal Bets uses proprietary algorithms to calculate the win percentage and expected value for O/Us, Spreads, and Moneylines.

We’ll go through each game and pick what our models calculate to be the best bet for that game. The best bet is the bet with the highest implied bet units. We use quarter Kelly Criterion to calculate the bet units. It’s possible there are no winning bets for the game which means the implied units for all bets will be 0. In that case, we default to the bet with the highest expected value even though it’s considered to be a losing bet. The best bets are dynamic based on the day's news and lock at tip-off.

Here were the NBA Best Bets of the Day for Saturday, Jan 28, 2023.



Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets

Sun 1:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for MIA @ CHA is CHA +5.5 -105. Our simulations expect this bet to win 51% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $100 for every $100 bet.

There are no bets in this game with a significant edge to the bettor.

Indiana Pacers @ Memphis Grizzlies

Sun 6:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for IND @ MEM is Under 239.5 -110. Our simulations expect this bet to win 63% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $120 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 5 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Los Angeles Clippers @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Sun 7:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for LAC @ CLE is LAC +4.5 -105. Our simulations expect this bet to win 58% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $114 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 3 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Milwaukee Bucks

Sun 8:10 PM EST

The best bet of the game for NO @ MIL is Under 233.5 -105. Our simulations expect this bet to win 62% of the time. This win percentage implies an expected value of $120 for every $100 bet.

The calculated optimal bet size is 5 units. Our models calculate this to be a +EV bet and consider it to be one of the top bets of the day.

Optimal Bets is not responsible for any decisions made, financial or otherwise, based on information provided by this website and application. Optimal Bets cannot guarantee the correctness of the information contained within our website and application.


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